How to achieve seemingly contradictory propositions of "recognizing what is not recognized"

In order to achieve the seemingly contradictory proposition of "recognizing the unrecognized," there are recommended subjects to study such as decision-making, history, geopolitics, and structures. They all seem to discuss similar topics. It would be beneficial to also study neuroscience (psychology) and economics to support these subjects. Personally, I don't trust habits or efforts or human behavior, so there must be a problem with the structure. According to Mr. Fukatsu, it is also a UX design philosophy. He recommends books on neuroscience, economics, and geopolitics as references for UX/UI design, as he believes that a realistic perspective is quite useful.

The formation of countries and civilizations is similar. If the parameters in this area are similar, the cultures will be somewhat similar as well. For example, the presence of seas, rivers, forests, and temperature and humidity. Learning geopolitics before studying geography seems to generate more interest. Geography at a stage where there is no interest becomes a memorization contest of specialty products from places you will never visit.

Historical masterpieces also seem to say the same things. It is sufficient to read them lightly (some books have 5,000 pages). Recommended books include "Collapse of Civilization Volume 1" by Jared Diamond and Koichi Nara, "Why Nations Fail: The Origins of Power, Prosperity, and Poverty (Vol. 1)" by Daron Acemoglu, James A. Robinson, and Shinobu Onizawa, "The World Until Yesterday (Vol. 1) - The Origins of Civilization and the Future of Humanity" by Jared Diamond and Akira Kurabone, and "Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies" by Jared Diamond and Akira Kura.

It is possible to explain to some extent the idea that "Japanese people are introverted and American people are outgoing." Japan is an island country, and it is generally assumed that there is unity, so there are not many wars in the first place. It's easier and better not to engage in wars because they are troublesome. On the other hand, America (China, Europe) is a landlocked country, so wars are unavoidable when the land is connected. Land is a limited material resource, so it becomes a zero-sum game. In a zero-sum game, the only option is to continue expanding to the next territory. This leads to a lot of wars. Those who have a mindset for war will survive, and those who don't fight will die.

This concept is similar to evolutionary psychology. It is not an academic discipline itself but rather a matter of mindset. Those who are aggressive and quick to start wars cannot survive socially. They can't even mate. Even if a certain gene is initially distributed to every place, it will decrease through natural selection. As a result, it has become the current situation where island countries and landlocked countries have different characteristics.

Combining this approach with history doubles its effectiveness. By considering it as territory, future predictions become possible. In the context of the internet, interpreting the business domain of companies as literal domains (territories) and analyzing them from a geopolitical perspective allows for highly accurate future predictions. Technological advancements will continue to evolve. It is important to separate "changing things (technology)" from "unchanging things (behavior, biases, physicality)" and consider them separately. Therefore, neuroscience and psychology can be recognized as unchanging things.

There are predictions that could be made about the future. For example, remote work could be predicted 10 years ago. Technological advancements were predictable in the context of human technological evolution. The value of land will decrease, and there will be an increase in conceptual currencies (money). Companies like GAFA (Google, Apple, Facebook, Amazon) create money. For example, Facebook's Libra. It is better to create your own money. If it can be circulated infinitely (meaning it can be created), it is better to create it (if there is a circulating economic zone). When I was in junior high school, I created a cryptocurrency, but it failed. The currency had no value because there was no value that I could control. If value can be assigned, it becomes a currency, like shells. It was good to understand the mechanisms of the economy. Thanks to technology, the barriers to payment and currency issuance (such as Suica) have been lowered. The essence of technological advancement is democratization. Technologies that were initially exclusive to the wealthy become widespread and accessible to the general public.

China, being a socialist country, does not have much incentive to generalize technology. TikTok is almost state-owned, and it has advanced AI technology (which goes against capitalism). However, China is gradually moving away from socialism (for some reason, AI technology like TikTok's has become competitive in capitalism). I think China is taking socialism as a defensive measure against capitalism. Therefore, they are developing AI during this defense (AI learns from data, so it started earlier and already has a certain amount of data, which refers to users in this case). As a result, no country or company can compete with China, which is why TikTok has been regulated in the United States.

In terms of decision-making, by being able to see the future and understand the structure, it is possible to make judgments about things that are not immediately visible. Abstract geopolitics, which takes the perspective of geopolitics one step further, could be a study that provides the best move within an unchangeable framework. However, there are few people who can share this idea.

Geopolitics, when highly abstracted, becomes a study of "what behavior becomes the norm under unchangeable (or difficult to change) initial conditions?" Therefore, it can be applied to business, wealth disparities, discrimination issues, and even family relationship problems.

Wars are probably not going to happen anymore (in the past form). Nuclear weapons would literally destroy the world, so there is not much meaning in that. No one can use nuclear weapons anymore because if they do, they will be used in return, which means war. In that case, humanity has no choice but to die. The earth will end. There is a quote from Einstein in which he was asked in an interview, "In the event of a third world war, what kind of weapon do you think will be used?" and he replied, "I don't know about the third world war, but I know about the fourth. It will be fought with stones and clubs." I find this comment suggestive.

Regarding how to dominate the field of technology, there is a concept of "tech colonization." There is an article titled "The True Nature of the Looming Crisis: Japan as a Digital Colony - International Standardization Competition in the Data Age" that explains this concept. It provides a good prediction based on a good structure, even if the word is not known.

When making decisions, the ability to see the future and understand the structure allows us to judge things that are not immediately visible.

Note: The translations of the book titles and article titles are approximate translations.